Wednesday, November 20, 2019

DECEMBER 2019 VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS


The Department of State has just issued the December 2019 Visa Bulletin. This is the third Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2020. This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin. 

December 2019 Visa Bulletin

Table A: Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.

Employment-
based
All Other
CHINA
INDIA
PHILIPPINES
1st
15JUN18
15MAY17
01JAN15
01JUN18
2nd
C
22JUN15
15MAY09
C
3rd
C
01NOV15
01JAN09
01MAR18


MU Law Analysis

All Other: Although All Other EB-1 has a slight retrogression, the EB-2 and EB-3 categories remained current and are expected to remain current for the foreseeable future.

China: EB-2 did progress by three months.  The EB-2 and EB-3 remain inverted, in spite of the fact that China EB-3 did not progress at all.  Over the course of FY2020 we expect EB-2 to catch up to EB-3 and the two categories to stay roughly   equal. 

India: As with China, the EB-2 and EB-3 dates remain inverted.  There was no material progress in either category.  We expect very little progress in either category in future months.

Philippines:  We remain surprised by the slow progress of EB-3.  The DOS indicated that demand for Adjust of Status cases is tamping down the promotion of dates.  Of course, Philippines EB-3 uses much less Adjust of Status visas than other categories, which makes this explanation suspect.  We still find the EB-3 priority date to be too conservative, but at this point we are no longer predicting as rosy progressions in early 2020.

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