The
Department of State expects that there will be “significant advancement” in
many categories, including all EB-1s and EB-5s, as well as EB-3 Worldwide and
Philippines, starting in FY 2021 (October 2020 Visa Bulletin). This is terrific
news for all EB IV applicants.
The news come from the Department of
State’s Charlie Oppenhiem, who is always gracious with his time. Charlie’s monthly AILA Q&As, Check In With Charlie, are always informative. This month’s Check In contained many
interesting answers, including answers to questions posed by MU attorneys.
Charlie expects that the Family-Based
Immigrant Visa category will be underused by about 60,000 visas, as a result of
slowdowns in processing related to COVID-19.
US law says that when the FB IV does not meet its quota, all of those
visa flow into the Employment-Based category in the next fiscal year. Therefore, Charlie expects the EB category to
increase from 140,000 to about 200,000 visas in FY 2021.
This means that the per country quotas,
which are normally about 10,000 IVs, will increase to approximately 14,000 IVs
per country. It is this increase in EB
visas that will lead to the dramatic progressions in October 2020.
Charlie
also helpfully explained that while he could have progressed the Visa Bulletin
more aggressively in June and July, he did not do so because “processing
capacity at both consular posts and USCIS is diminished due to the pandemic.” Therefore, Visa Bulletin progressions would
not have meant increased visa umber usage and may have resulted in a future retrogression,
which he tries to avoid.
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